Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marines · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marines 2-0 AS Kigali
Original prediction
Marines
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.9% | 38.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.2% | 30.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.9% | 31.3% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Marines
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Marines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarinesNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
AS KigaliNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
MarinesAS Kigali
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24