GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/30/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 49.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasPuerto Golfito
61.8Attack9.3
59.8Defence0.0
55.9Form1.9
59.1Power9.3
3.74xG0.52
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