GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cariari PocociWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasCariari Pococi
61.8Attack16.7
59.8Defence100.0
55.9Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.76xG1.01
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