GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/2/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

64.6%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasWWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasAntioquia
61.8Attack55.2
59.8Defence36.5
55.9Form40.6
59.1Power44.1
2.65xG1.17
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