GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/18/2024, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasDWWLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Marineros de PuntarenasADR Jicaral
61.8Attack33.3
59.8Defence100.0
55.9Form100.0
59.1Power80.3
1.75xG1.14
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