GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasDWWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Marineros de PuntarenasAD Sarchí
61.8Attack66.7
59.8Defence66.7
55.9Form100.0
59.1Power80.3
1.77xG1.22
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