GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíDWWWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasAD Sarchí
61.8Attack66.7
59.8Defence66.7
55.9Form100.0
59.1Power80.3
1.77xG1.22
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