GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/10/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marineros de Puntarenas are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marineros de PuntarenasDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
AD CarmelitaWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Marineros de PuntarenasAD Carmelita
61.8Attack66.7
59.8Defence33.3
55.9Form33.3
59.1Power45.3
2.13xG1.08
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