Marinevs
Spalding United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spalding United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marine 0-0 Spalding United, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marine 1-0 Spalding United
Original prediction
Spalding United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.4% | 26.8% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.0% | 43.8% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Projected Score
Marine 0–0 Spalding United
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Spalding United
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Spalding United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80