Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marine · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marine 2-0 Radcliffe
Original prediction
Marine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 45.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 26.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.0% | 28.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Marine
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Marine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarineWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RadcliffeWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MarineRadcliffe
33.3Attack25.0
58.3Defence33.3
25.0Form25.0
39.1Power31.6
1.52xG0.96