Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marine · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Marine are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Radcliffe are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marine hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the National League - North, while Marine holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marine
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
13.8%
Marine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40