Marinevs
Darlington 1883
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marine · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marine 2-1 Darlington 1883
Original prediction
Marine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.9% | 49.4% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 24.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.5% | 26.0% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Marine
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Marine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60