Marignanevs
Chateauroux
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/25/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Marignane are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Chateauroux are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chateauroux hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Ligue 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20