Marienlystvs
VSK Århus
COMPLETEDDenmark · DBU Pokalen · 8/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marienlyst 1-3 VSK Århus
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.14 | 17.6% | 35.7% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.1% | 24.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.3% | 40.1% | -20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40