Mariehamnvs
PuiU Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Suomen Cup · 5/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mariehamn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Mariehamn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PuiU Helsinki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mariehamn hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Suomen Cup, while Mariehamn holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mariehamn
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
8.8%
Mariehamn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20