GGOALVIO

Finland · Suomen Cup · 5/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mariehamn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Mariehamn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PuiU Helsinki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mariehamn hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Suomen Cup, while Mariehamn holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mariehamn

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

8.8%

Mariehamn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MariehamnDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PuiU HelsinkiLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MariehamnPuiU Helsinki
83.3Attack22.2
83.3Defence44.4
75.0Form22.2
77.2Power32.7
3.12xG1.26
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