VeikkausliigaVeikkausliiga
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 14:55
Mariehamn

Mariehamn

Home
L
02
Full time
Inter Turku

Inter Turku

Away
WD
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Inter Turku(59%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Prediction correct— Result: Inter Turku
Win probability
Mariehamn
18%
Draw
24%
Inter Turku
59%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mariehamn
73
Inter Turku
54
Defence
Mariehamn
1
Inter Turku
66
Momentum
Mariehamn
0
Inter Turku
67
Danger (xG)
Mariehamn
1.80
Inter Turku
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Mariehamn)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Inter Turku)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Mariehamn)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Inter Turku)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MariehamnMariehamn
LLDW
Inter TurkuInter Turku
WDWWD

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Mariehamn18%
Draw24%
Inter Turku59%

Inter Turku leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mariehamn head into this in Veikkausliiga fixture in mixed form (L), while Inter Turku arrive in mixed form (WD). Mariehamn have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Inter Turku over 2 games.

The model rates Mariehamn's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Inter Turku defence, and Inter Turku's attack at 54/100 against a 1/100 Mariehamn backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Mariehamn have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Inter Turku have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Inter Turku have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Inter Turku to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-2. Win probabilities: Mariehamn 1750%, Draw 2370%, Inter Turku 5890%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Mariehamn 0Draws 01 Inter Turku
Avg goals: 2.0
27 Jun 2026
Mariehamn
L02
Inter Turku

Recent form

Mariehamn

Mariehamn

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Inter Turku

Inter Turku

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts Inter Turku to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more