MariehamnvsHJK Helsinki

Mariehamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HJK Helsinki are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 5.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK Helsinki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (21.8 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while HJK Helsinki holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.