VeikkausliigaVeikkausliiga
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Mariehamn

Mariehamn

Home
L
11
Full time
AC Oulu

AC Oulu

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Mariehamn(28%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Mariehamn
28%
Draw
29%
AC Oulu
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mariehamn
73
AC Oulu
9
Defence
Mariehamn
1
AC Oulu
6
Momentum
Mariehamn
0
AC Oulu
0
Danger (xG)
Mariehamn
1.80
AC Oulu
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Mariehamn)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (AC Oulu)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Mariehamn)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (AC Oulu)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MariehamnMariehamn
LLDW
AC OuluAC Oulu
LDW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Mariehamn28%
Draw29%
AC Oulu43%

AC Oulu leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mariehamn head into this in Veikkausliiga fixture in mixed form (L), while AC Oulu arrive in mixed form (L). Mariehamn have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for AC Oulu over 1 games.

The model rates Mariehamn's attack at 73/100 against a 6/100 AC Oulu defence, and AC Oulu's attack at 9/100 against a 1/100 Mariehamn backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Mariehamn have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. AC Oulu have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Mariehamn and AC Oulu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Mariehamn to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Mariehamn 2838%, Draw 2895%, AC Oulu 4267%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Mariehamn

Mariehamn

L
@ Gnistan
11 Jul 2026
24
L
vs Inter Turku
27 Jun 2026
02
D
vs KuPS
16 May 2026
11
W
vs PuiU Helsinki
13 May 2026
30
AC Oulu

AC Oulu

L
@ Turku PS
11 Jul 2026
03
D
vs Lahti
27 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Turku PS
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

GoalVio's model predicts Mariehamn to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more