Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Maribor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bravo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the 1. SNL, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80