Mariborvs
Botev Plovdiv
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/18/2024, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maribor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 36.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00