Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Maribor are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aluminij are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the 1. SNL, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
83.2%
Model confidence
83.2%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00