GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Mediumconfidence

Margveti 2006 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Varketili are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and varketili hold a 43.7-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 80.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely result in the Liga 3, favouring Varketili with 14.9% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varketili

Probability

87.2%

Model confidence

14.9%

Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Margveti 2006WLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
VarketiliWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Margveti 2006Varketili
33.3Attack85.4
35.4Defence81.3
35.4Form83.3
37.1Power80.8
0.52xG3.30
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