Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Whitehawk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Margate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Whitehawk have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Margate hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Whitehawk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Whitehawk
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Whitehawk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00