Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Marek are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Montana are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Montana hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Second League, while Montana holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montana
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
33.6%
Montana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.50