Mardin 1969vs
Vanspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mardin 1969 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mardin 1969 1-1 Vanspor FK
Original prediction
Mardin 1969
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.8% | 41.8% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.9% | 28.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.4% | 30.2% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Mardin 1969
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Mardin 1969 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80