Mardin 1969vs
Manisa F.K.
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mardin 1969 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mardin 1969 2-1 Manisa F.K.
Original prediction
Mardin 1969
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 03:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 47.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 27.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.8% | 25.2% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Mardin 1969
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Mardin 1969 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00