Mardin 1969vs
Bodrum FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mardin 1969 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mardin 1969 1-0 Bodrum FK, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mardin 1969 1-0 Bodrum FK
Original prediction
Mardin 1969
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.7% | 49.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.6% | 28.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.7% | 22.8% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Mardin 1969 1–0 Bodrum FK
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Mardin 1969
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Mardin 1969 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mardin 1969DDWWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bodrum FKDDDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mardin 1969Bodrum FK
53.3Attack13.3
80.0Defence73.3
60.0Form26.7
64.8Power40.7
1.28xG0.68