Marconi Stallionsvs
Oakleigh Cannons
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oakleigh Cannons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marconi Stallions 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons
Original prediction
Oakleigh Cannons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.3% | 31.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.9% | 26.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.8% | 42.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Oakleigh Cannons
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Oakleigh Cannons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60