Marconi Stallionsvs
NWS Spirit
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 9/2/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marconi Stallions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marconi Stallions 1-0 NWS Spirit, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marconi Stallions 1-3 NWS Spirit
Original prediction
Marconi Stallions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.7% | 60.6% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 23.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 16.0% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Projected Score
Marconi Stallions 1–0 NWS Spirit
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Marconi Stallions
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Marconi Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80