Marconi Stallionsvs
NWS Spirit
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marconi Stallions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marconi Stallions 1-0 NWS Spirit, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marconi Stallions 1-1 NWS Spirit
Original prediction
Marconi Stallions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.1% | 63.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 22.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.0% | 14.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Marconi Stallions 1–0 NWS Spirit
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Marconi Stallions
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Marconi Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40