GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marcílio Dias · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marcílio Dias are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Joinville are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.7 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Marcílio Dias holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marcílio Dias

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Marcílio Dias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marcílio DiasWLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
JoinvilleL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Marcílio DiasJoinville
61.5Attack63.0
48.7Defence44.4
51.3Form48.1
54.7Power52.7
2.18xG1.71
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