GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 2/21/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Marcílio Dias are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marcílio DiasL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Chapecoense-scW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Marcílio DiasChapecoense-sc
16.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence75.0
50.0Form33.3
47.8Power43.3
0.96xG0.82
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