GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Blumenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marcílio DiasWDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BlumenauWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Marcílio DiasBlumenau
33.3Attack44.4
73.8Defence72.2
50.0Form58.3
54.5Power60.1
0.58xG0.65
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