GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/1/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Marcílio Dias are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Azuriz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marcílio DiasDWWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AzurizLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Marcílio DiasAzuriz
33.3Attack23.3
73.8Defence63.3
50.0Form30.0
54.5Power41.8
0.82xG0.33
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