GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marchamalo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Marchamalo are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Unión Adarve are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Adarve hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Marchamalo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marchamalo

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

11.3%

Marchamalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarchamaloWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Unión AdarveW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
MarchamaloUnión Adarve
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.69xG1.58
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