Marbellavs
Ucam Murcia
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Marbella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ucam Murcia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Marbella hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40