Marbellavs
Sanluqueño
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marbella · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marbella 0-0 Sanluqueño, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marbella 2-2 Sanluqueño
Original prediction
Marbella
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.1% | 40.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Marbella 0–0 Sanluqueño
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Marbella
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Marbella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarbellaWLLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SanluqueñoDDLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MarbellaSanluqueño
40.2Attack50.0
68.6Defence50.0
54.9Form50.0
55.8Power50.0
1.12xG0.72