Marbellavs
Real Murcia
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/1/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Marbella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Murcia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Murcia hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00