Marbellavs
Real Betis II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marbella 0-0 Real Betis II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marbella 0-2 Real Betis II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.5% | 36.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 30.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.0% | 33.0% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Marbella 0–0 Real Betis II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarbellaDWLDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real Betis IIWWDWD
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MarbellaReal Betis II
40.2Attack33.3
68.6Defence100.0
54.9Form100.0
55.8Power80.3
1.01xG0.81