MaranhãovsGuarani Campinas

Maranhão are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guarani Campinas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani Campinas hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Serie C, while Guarani Campinas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.