Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maqtaaral are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 2.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.75/1.25