Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Maqtaaral are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atyrau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.0 against 44.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00