GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/14/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mantova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vicenza VirtusDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
MantovaVicenza Virtus
63.2Attack45.6
72.8Defence73.7
70.2Form62.3
68.8Power61.9
1.09xG0.67
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