Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Trento are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20