Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Renate are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80