GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mantova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaWDWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PRO VercelliWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaPRO Vercelli
63.2Attack43.9
72.8Defence58.8
70.2Form46.5
68.8Power51.1
1.76xG0.62
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