GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pro Patria · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Pro Patria holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pro Patria

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

Pro Patria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaPro Patria
0.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power53.0
1.27xG1.33
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