GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/17/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

69.9%

Model confidence

69.9%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaLWWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MantovaPro Patria
63.2Attack32.5
72.8Defence55.3
70.2Form40.4
68.8Power45.1
1.95xG0.45
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