Mantovavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/5/2023, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20