Mantovavs
Legnago Salus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/28/2024, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20