MantovavsGiana Erminio

Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.